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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Economía
  3. Recession this year?
Recession this year?

Recession this year?

1.0% (24h)EconomíaOne-Off7m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 19%+1.0%
Calidad del mercado

60 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

66,9 €

Liquidez

7,7 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

18.0% / 19.0%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

14 jul 25, 14:0031 ene 27, 13:25

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes19%

Reglas

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%

Mercados Relacionados

Recession in 2027?

Recession in 2027?

0,3 €
Sí: 46%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7 mil €
Sí: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sí: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.4%: 35%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%CardanoADA$0.1662+2.23%HyperliquidHYPE$54.88-2.70%LitecoinLTC$42.80+0.16%

Reglas

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.