Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 65%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado28 sept 24, 22:16 UTC2 ene 01, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiReglas
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM
Mercados abiertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 247,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,4 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,6 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 131,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,1 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volumen total
- 379,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,3 mil €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century??
- Está previsto que Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2201.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.