Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
EconomíaOne-OffMacro & Economy3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado29 abr 25, 7:25 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.6% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.2% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -0.8% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiReglas
Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0
- Includes Q4 2026, so may need to resolve a bit later if the data isn't out yet.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 323,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 523 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 22 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 611,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,7 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0