KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Above 0.0% · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Above 0.0% 99.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
Above 0.0% 99.5%Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Interés abierto
144,1 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Above 0.0%Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
28 jul 26, 16:30 UTC30 oct 26, 12:29 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 5m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Above 0.0%
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 0.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Futuur — US GDP growth in Q3 2026 · More than 3.0% 68%
- También disponible en Polymarket — US GDP growth in Q3 2026? · ≥3.0% 66%