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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Economía
  3. Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

EconomíaOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
United Kingdom
United Kingdom 37%
Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

301,1 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

31.0% / 36.9%

Spread

19.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

23 abr 24, 12:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

United Kingdom37%

Reglas

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.

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Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

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US real GDP growth in 2030?

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Reglas

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.