PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
0.0%–0.8% 26.7%+2.0ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
266,6 €
Liquidez
12 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
17 ago 26, 19:3516 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 196,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 17 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volumen total
- 2,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,9 mil €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 229,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-11.5pt40.2%
- 0.4-0.7%+4.0pt27.8%
- 2.0%++0.3pt11.3%
+4 resultados más
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Polymarket cotiza 0.0%–0.8% al 27% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Está previsto que Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? se resuelva el 16 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.