Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
4.0–5.0% 89%+0.5ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
39,8 €
Liquidez
76,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
17
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado21 ene 26, 23:2331 ene 27, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”.
- The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 381,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 54,3 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 360,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 49,3 mil €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 309,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 15,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volumen total
- 235,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,2 mil €
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 resultados más
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 4.0–5.0% al 89% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Está previsto que China Annual GDP Growth 2026 se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida China Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.