Probabilidad implícita actual
Soft landing 62%+2.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
924,9 €
Liquidez
21 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
57.3% / 65.3%
Spread
14.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
25 feb 26, 15:0013 ene 27, 13:25
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Soft landing62%
Comparar plataformas· Soft landing
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general93% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 62% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 11,7 mil € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Media | 62% | 0pt | 924,9 € | 21 mil € | hace 15 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
US economic state at the end of 2026?
3.5%6m
+3.5%62%
24%
+0.5%14%
+1 resultados más
79 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total48,5 mil €
Volumen 24h1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.1k3 jul23d de datos26 jul
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If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.