KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Soft landing 55.7%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,1 mil €
Liquidez
45,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.2 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
25 feb 26, 15:00 UTC13 ene 27, 13:25 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q3 2026?
ForecastExChina overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2035?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — US economic state at the end of 2026? · Soft Landing 50%
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase52.9%
- No change+2.0pt46.1%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 92,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 3 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 610,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 69,9 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt55%
- September Meeting45%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 365,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 31 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-2.0pt34%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt74.3%
- No-4.0pt25.7%
- Volumen total
- 7,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,4 mil €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Kolkata Municipal Election Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de State of the economy at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Soft landing al 56% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve State of the economy at the end of 2026?
- Está previsto que State of the economy at the end of 2026 se resuelva el 13 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida State of the economy at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado State of the economy at the end of 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.