PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
2.0-2.5% 28.4%+1.5ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-16.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 jul 26, 23:4330 oct 26, 6:00
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 381,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 54,3 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 360,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 49,3 mil €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 309,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 15,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volumen total
- 235,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,2 mil €
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 resultados más
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza 2.0-2.5% al 28% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Está previsto que Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? se resuelva el 30 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.