PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
1.0-1.2% 50%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
43 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
270,6 €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
9.4 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+5.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
31 jul 26, 23:46 UTC30 oct 26, 6:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
PolymarketEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 554,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,8 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volumen total
- 314,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 76 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza 1.0-1.2% al 50% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Está previsto que Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? se resuelva el 30 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.