PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
0.2–0.3% 24.1%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
36,5 €
Liquidez
3,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-6.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
13 ago 26, 17:4312 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 51,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 120,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Volumen total
- 218,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,3 mil €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 117,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,1 mil €
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- 2026 World GDP Growth
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket cotiza 0.2–0.3% al 24% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Está previsto que UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? se resuelva el 12 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.