PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
3.0% 25.7%+0.6ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.3 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+13.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
23 ene 26, 16:2015 ene 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
- Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
- If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
- If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 51,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 120,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Volumen total
- 218,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,3 mil €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 117,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,1 mil €
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 World GDP Growth?
- Polymarket cotiza 3.0% al 26% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 World GDP Growth?
- Está previsto que 2026 World GDP Growth se resuelva el 15 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 World GDP Growth?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.