KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual1.6% to 2.0% 26%+0.1%Líder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0,1 €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
26.1% / 27.0%
Spread
3.5%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
14 ene 26, 15:0028 feb 27, 13:29
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
1.6% to 2.0%26%
También disponible en Polymarket
GDP growth in 2026
0.8%7m
-5.0%43%
-0.1%19%
-1.0%17%
+3 resultados más
40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total26 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Reglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.