KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
2.1% to 2.5% 15%Líder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
14,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
8 jun 26, 20:00 UTC28 feb 28, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
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KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q4 2027?
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KalshiReglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “the named outcome” includes 6.1%, and “the named outcome” includes 0.0%.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 554,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,8 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volumen total
- 314,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 76 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Kalshi cotiza 2.1% to 2.5% al 15% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Está previsto que US real GDP growth in 2027? se resuelva el 28 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US real GDP growth in 2027??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.