KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual2.6% to 3.0% 9%+4.0ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
666,3 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
28 jul 26, 0:0028 feb 36, 13:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
1.6% to 2.0%8%
Tendencia de volumen
$1.4k28 jul2d de datos29 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
US real GDP growth in 2033?
63,2 mil €2.1% to 2.5%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2036?
47 mil €5.1% to 5.5%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2032?
32,8 mil €5.6% to 6.0%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Recession in 2026?
462,5 €Sí: 14%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS real GDP growth in 2034?
26,3 €1.6% to 2.0%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
119,7 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2035 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2035.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2035 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2035 GDP in early 2036.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2035 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2035 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.