KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual2.1% to 2.5% 12.2%+1.0ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
47 mil €
Liquidez
36,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
28 jul 26, 0:0031 dic 37, 13:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
5.1% to 5.5%3%
Operaciones grandes
$1.3k94.0%KALSHI3.6% to 4.0% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI3.6% to 4.0% — Nohace 19 h$1.6k94.0%KALSHI3.1% to 3.5% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI3.1% to 3.5% — Nohace 19 h$1.6k91.0%KALSHI2.6% to 3.0% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI2.6% to 3.0% — Nohace 19 h$1.3k94.0%KALSHI0.1% to 0.5% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI0.1% to 0.5% — Nohace 19 h$1.3k94.0%KALSHI4.1% to 4.5% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI4.1% to 4.5% — Nohace 19 h$1.8k90.0%KALSHI1.6% to 2.0% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI1.6% to 2.0% — Nohace 19 h$1.4k96.0%KALSHI5.6% to 6.0% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI5.6% to 6.0% — Nohace 19 h$1.9k94.0%KALSHI0.6% to 1.0% — Nohace 19 h
KALSHI0.6% to 1.0% — Nohace 19 hTendencia de volumen
$53.6k28 jul2d de datos29 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
US real GDP growth in 2033?
63,2 mil €2.1% to 2.5%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2032?
32,8 mil €5.6% to 6.0%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2034?
26,3 €1.6% to 2.0%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
119,7 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2031?
30,7 €6.1% or Above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2035?
1,2 mil €1.6% to 2.0%: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2036.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2036 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2036 GDP in early 2037.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.