If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
EconomíaOne-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
2-3% 35.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
2-3% 35.5%Pronosticadores
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado1 sept 24, 21:43 UTC1 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
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Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth.
- Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
- This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
- If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank.
- Otherwise, this will resolve N/A. Corresponding question for Harris: