If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
InflaciónOne-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual[2%, 3%) 67.3%Líder entre 8 opciones
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13
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 9 minutos
23 abr 22, 18:47 UTC1 mar 29, 0:00 UTC
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FutuurReglas
This resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024.
- Otherwise, this question will resolve based on CPI-U data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics data as of March 1st 2029.
- The resolution will be the change of CPI-U from Janurary 2025 to January 2029, to the power of 1/4 to get a yearly average.
- The source for the data will be https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL, or another source if that goes down.
- A similar question for Trump's 2017-2021 term would resolve at 1.85% over the four years, at 1.26% for Obama's 2013-2017 term, and at 2.25% for Obama's 2009-2013 term.
