Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualHakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer 46.2%+6.9ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+6.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
21 mar 26, 22:27 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.
- Does not matter if the caucus is in the majority or minority, this is caucus vote not speaker vote.
- Hakeem Jeffries and NOT Jeffries are the house options, Chuck Schumer and NOT Schumer are the senate options.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
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- 407,5 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
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- Volumen total
- 14,9 M €
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- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
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- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Hakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer al 46% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Está previsto que Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.