SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningNo live quotesStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probability50% 5%
Market quality
8 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$420
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleTrends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Individual contracts will resolve once approval rating values are reached in line with the Silver Bulletin approval rating poll aggregator or once the year is completed.
- Alternative sources maybe used if required.