US Core PCE (October 2026)

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-1.0pt71.7%
• 1 (25 bps)+1.5pt28.3%
• 3 (75 bps)+0.1pt0%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$45.9K

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-3.0pt70.3%
• No+3.0pt29.7%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$18.6K

KALSHI

What will Pete Buttigieg say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?

• Inflation0.5%
• Billionaire0.5%
• Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

• Pause-Hike-Pause+5.0pt65%
• Pause-Pause-Pause-0.5pt15%
• Pause-Pause-Hike-6.2pt10%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-2.0pt71.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+3.5pt27.7%
• Other-1.3pt1%

+6 more outcomes