PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: Yes (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
YesAwaiting result
NoAwaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax?
KalshiWill strong AI raise or lower real interest rates?
Manifold MarketsWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This contract will resolve as Yes if, no earlier than the launch of this market on July 16, 2026 and prior to the End Date listed below, a majority of the U.S. Federal Reserve System's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) votes to increase the target rate or, in the case of a target range, the midpoint of such range, for the Federal Funds Rate, whether in the course of a scheduled or unscheduled FOMC meeting, as confirmed by a press release or other official publication released by the Federal Reserve prior to the End Date.
In the event that the FOMC moves from a target range to a target rate (or vice versa), the midpoint of the target range will be compared with the target rate in determining whether such change qualifies as a reduction.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/16/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
In the event that the FOMC moves from a target range to a target rate (or vice versa), the midpoint of the target range will be compared with the target rate in determining whether such change qualifies as a reduction.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/16/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
