Will Jerome Powell leave the Fed Board before July?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change86.1%
• 25 bps increase13.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$53.4M

24h Vol

$2.6M

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate+1.0pt87.5%
• Hike 25bps12.5%
• Cut 25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+1.0pt78.2%
• No change-1.0pt18.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.6pt2%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)+0.3pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate+2.0pt83.9%
• Hike 25bps-3.0pt12.3%
• Cut 25bps1.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$71.4K

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in January?

• No change+3.0pt59.8%
• 25 bps increase-0.5pt37.3%
• 25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%

+2 more outcomes