PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
This market resolved: 40.2% to 40.4% (6%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
40.8% to 41.0% 23%+8.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 94 days ago
StaleTrends
23%
22%
22%
6%
5%
3%
3%
2%
2%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.5M
- 24h Vol
- $987.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt4.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.7M
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.7M
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- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on May 6??
- PredictIt prices 40.8% to 41.0% at 23% as of May 19, 2026.
- When does What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on May 6? resolve?
- What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on May 6? is scheduled to resolve on May 6, 2026.