PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 8:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
December 31 11%+0.5pt
December 31 11%+0.5ptMarket quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
7d Change
-3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 10:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351541° N, 37.210747° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
