PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 11%-0.5pt
December 31 11%-0.5ptMarket quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$192.9
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 3.7%
Spread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 6, 26, 12:11 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by which date?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.662681° N, 36.253683° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.