Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?
42.8 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 94%+42.8pt
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$586.2
Liquidity
$388.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
87.6% / 100.0%
Spread
12.4 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+33.3 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 26, 9:01 PMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
94%
6%
Rules
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices.
- As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed.
- A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
