Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kevin McCarthy
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Kevin McCarthy 100%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMay 5, 22, 12:00 AMJan 3, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Kevin McCarthy100%
Steve Scalise0%
Nancy Pelosi0%
100%
0%
0%
Rules
This is a market group on who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress.
- The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate.
- If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat the named outcome, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members.
- The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022.
- The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023.
