PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
June 30 100%+11.4ptLeader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$339.5K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+72.5 pts
Market data
Updated 71 days ago
StaleApr 12, 26, 6:22 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
June 30100%
July 3188%
June 21100%
April 150%
April 160%
April 170%
April 180%
April 220%
April 300%
April 190%
April 210%
April 200%
April 230%
April 240%
April 250%
April 270%
April 290%
May 50%
April 260%
April 280%
May 150%
May 310%
June 150%
May 220%
May 280%
June 30%
June 70%
June 100%
June 130%
June 140%
June 181%
June 190%
June 170%
June 160%
June 200%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
- The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.
