PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Jan 12, 2024, 2:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 11, 24, 9:54 PMJan 12, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
On Thursday, January 11, 2024, it was reported US President Joe Biden would potentially give a statement on the situation involving the Houthis in the Red Sea.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory intended to strike Houthi targets between January 11, 12:00 PM ET, and January 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a Houthi weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting, and specifically directed against Houthi targets.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions.
- Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+82.0pt85.3%
- Darline Graham, 6-9%-12.0pt0.9%
- Darline Graham, 9-12%-8.0pt0.9%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.5pt77%
- October 31+13.5pt60%
- September 30+11.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt18.6%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.6%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Total Vol
- $25.1M
- 24h Vol
- $555.5K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt21%
- Jon Ossoff15%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US strike against Houthis by Friday??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does US strike against Houthis by Friday? resolve?
- US strike against Houthis by Friday? is scheduled to resolve on January 12, 2024.
- How is US strike against Houthis by Friday? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On Thursday, January 11, 2024, it was reported US President Joe Biden would potentially give a statement on the situation involving the Houthis in the Red Sea.