US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023?
Inflation
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Dec 12, 2023, 3:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleDec 11, 23, 7:07 PMDec 12, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2023.
- Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.0 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from October to November 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on December 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change65.7%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt33.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt56%
- No-1.0pt44%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $63.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting+1.0pt35%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $133.7K
- 24h Vol
- $10.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $140.4K
- 24h Vol
- $8K
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-2.3pt23%
- At least 5.0%+0.9pt17%
- At least 5.5%14%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $451.2K
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- India Annual Inflation 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
- US gasoline CPI for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? resolve?
- US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? is scheduled to resolve on December 12, 2023.
- How is US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2023.