PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
38.0–38.4 67%+29.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$5.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 4:04 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 9?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 11?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026? · 39.4 to 39.6 26%
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump approval rating on September 11??
- Polymarket prices 38.0–38.4 at 67% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Trump approval rating on September 11? resolve?
- Trump approval rating on September 11? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Trump approval rating on September 11? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Where else is Trump approval rating on September 11? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.