PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 95%
Yes 95%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.8
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$246.5
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 9:56 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes a new AI model available to the general public between market creation and the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether a qualifying model is made available to the general public between market creation and that date and time.
- A model made available to the general public on Anthropic's first trading day will qualify only if it is made available before Anthropic shares begin trading.
- A qualifying model must be a new Anthropic AI model whose name or version designation had not been announced or released before market creation, such as Claude Fable 5.2, Claude Opus 5.6, Claude Sonnet 5.6, or Claude Haiku 5.6, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6 or a model in a new family.
- Models that retain the name and version designation of a model announced or released before market creation, such as Claude Fable 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Claude Haiku 5.5, or Claude Mythos 5.1, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or expansion of access to them, will not qualify.