PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 3:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 69%
No 69%Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$121.6
Low liquidityOpen interest
$255.8
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 28, 26, 5:55 PM UTCApr 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the mortgage delinquency rate is greater than 3.00% for any quarter from Q3 2026 through Q4 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The mortgage delinquency rate is the delinquency rate on residential real estate loans shown in the "Residential" column under "Real estate loans, Booked in domestic offices" in the Federal Reserve's "Delinquency Rates, All Banks, SA" table (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/chargeoff/delallsa.htm).
- This market will resolve as soon as the mortgage delinquency rate for a qualifying quarter is greater than 3.00%, or once data for Q4 2027 has been published.
- If no data for Q4 2027 has been published by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
- All published quarterly figures will be treated as final.
