PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2027 · —
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Stored reference
2027 26%Leader of 3 outcomes
2027 26%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$3.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2027Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 8:01 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2027
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.