PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 4.86% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Below 4.86% 56%Leader of 9 outcomes
Below 4.86% 56%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$351.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Below 4.86%Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 11:35 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Below 4.86%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
