Fed Interest Rates March 2022

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate-3.0pt88.1%
• Hike 25bps+2.0pt7.1%
• Hike >25bps1.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$124.7K

24h Vol

$5.4M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change93.1%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt6.9%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate-1.0pt92.5%
• Hike 25bps+2.0pt7.5%
• Cut 25bps

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+2.5pt74%
• No change-1.0pt22%
• 50+ bps increase+0.1pt3%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

• Exactly 0 cuts-0.7pt93.6%
• Exactly 1 cut+2.2pt4.2%
• Exactly 4 cuts+0.5pt

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)-0.3pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)+0.3pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes