Fed Interest Rates: December 2023

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+8.0pt94.1%
• 25 bps increase-7.0pt5.9%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$56.8M

24h Vol

$3.4M

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate+5.0pt93.5%
• Hike 25bps-6.0pt5.5%
• Cut 25bps

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in January?

• No change+5.0pt68.8%
• 25 bps increase-10.5pt28.1%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-11.5pt68.4%
• No change+8.5pt27.6%
• 50+ bps increase+0.6pt3.1%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-6.5pt74%
• No+6.5pt26%

Total Vol

$961.6K

24h Vol

$100.2K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-1.0pt68.3%
• 1 (25 bps)+4.0pt24.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt6.9%

+3 more outcomes