Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Apr 26, 2023, 5:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleMar 6, 23, 11:16 PMApr 4, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
A 2023 election for the Mayor of Chicago resulted in no candidate getting a majority, triggering a runoff between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson scheduled to be held on Tuesday, April 4, 2023.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if either candidate in the 2023 Chicago mayoral runoff wins by a margin greater than 5% (e.g. margin of 5.0001% resolves to "Yes").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election.
- Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates.
- For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory).
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? resolve?
- Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? is scheduled to resolve on April 4, 2023.
- How is Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: A 2023 election for the Mayor of Chicago resulted in no candidate getting a majority, triggering a runoff between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson scheduled to be held on Tuesday, April 4, 2023.