PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
5.9 to 6.0 · —
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Stored reference
5.9 to 6.0 88.6%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
5.9 to 6.0 88.6%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$786
Bid / Ask
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5.9 to 6.0Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 4:07 AM UTCOct 15, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 5.9 to 6.0
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 14, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 14, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 14, 2026? · Magnitude of at least 5.6 99%