PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
5.5 to 5.6 79.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
5.5 to 5.6 79.2%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$6.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.5 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 4:07 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 3, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 4, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 4, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.