PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 74%+2.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.9
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
43.3 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:49 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
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Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic resets Claude subscription usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by Anthropic that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the 5-hour or weekly usage counters for paid Claude subscription users, or grants those users a reset that Anthropic characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it.
- A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
- Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing counters, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify.
- Resets of Anthropic API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-32.6pt43%
- 1530+0.1pt4%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $321.7K
- 24h Vol
- $92.6K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.0pt67%
- ChatGPT-0.5pt17.5%
- Gemini+0.1pt6.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11M
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt81%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,86%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,-3.5pt78%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat will Todd Blanche say during his WH Press Briefing?
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization99%
- Trump (3+ times)99%
+20 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.4K
- 24h Vol
- $45K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- Google39%
- Microsoft32%
- SpaceXAI21%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.5K
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
- Tencent market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by which date??
- Polymarket prices October 31 at 74% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by which date? resolve?
- Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by which date? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic resets Claude subscription usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.