This market resolved: Google
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 6:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
28%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
Google95%
DeepSeek0%
Tencent0%
Meta0%
Qwen0%
GoogleWon
DeepSeekLost
TencentLost
OpenAILost
Z.aiLost
XiaomiLost
NvidiaLost
AnthropicLost
MiniMaxLost
MetaLost
QwenLost
xAILost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026.
- A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026.
- The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
- This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 5, 2026 are first displayed.
- If the figures for the week of October 5, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 9, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 at that time.
- If no data is available for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".