Will you be able to easily and affordably purchase ethical lab-grown human meat in the US before 2035?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience8yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.5%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 25, 5:23 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 5:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, before market close, one or more food products made from cultured human cells is legally purchasable by a typical U.S. consumer and meets all of the following:
- The human cells were obtained from a living donor with informed consent (not embryonic/fetal/cadaveric).
- No non-human animal products and no unethically-obtained human products are used in its manufacture (e.g. no fetal serum used as growth medium).
- "Easily": The product is fairly frequently available for the general public with no waitlist/lottery as either (a) direct‑to‑consumer online checkout shipping to ≥25 U.S. states, or (b) stocked in ≥50 retail locations across ≥3 U.S. states.
- Restaurant-only tastings do not count towards this.
- State-level bans do not prevent a YES if the product is legally purchasable in a sufficient number of other U.S. states.
