Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we discover alien life before 2038??

Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will we discover alien life before 2038? resolve?

Will we discover alien life before 2038? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2038.

How is Will we discover alien life before 2038? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2038.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.3pt98%
• Yes-1.3pt2%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$9K

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.3pt98%
• Yes-0.3pt2%

Total Vol

$18.9M

24h Vol

$8.4K

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M+14.0pt37.9%
• 3.53M–3.56M-8.0pt29.1%
• 3.59M–3.62M-1.0pt13.6%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+1.0pt99%
• ↑5.5k+1.1pt96%
• ↑6k-1.0pt87%

+13 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

• Before Jan 1, 202989.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202884.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202855.5%

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before December 1, 2026+1.0pt3.5%
• Before January 1, 20275.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$131.9K

24h Vol

• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
• When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
• Measles cases in 2026?
• Pandemic in 2026?
• When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
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• Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
• Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
• Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
• FDA approves Retatrutide this year?