Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingJan 29, 24, 3:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
In any court, with any sentence.
- Does not need to end up actually serving prison time; this resolves Yes even if the verdict is overturned later, or if Vince dies after conviction.
- https://www.wsj.com/business/vince-mcmahon-accused-of-sex-trafficking-by-wwe-staffer-he-paid-to-keep-quiet-0b19b21c?st=0cn9sdzv8s0vuoq
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/will-vince-mcmahon-settle-out-of-co)