What are the current odds for Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 79.8% as of September 26, 2026.

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

AIOne-OffUS Politics Macro & Economy4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 79.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Aug 1, 23, 8:02 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

The introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) in the United States by 2030 is plausible due to the potential displacement of jobs by artificial intelligence (AI) and automation.

As AI technology continues to advance, it's expected that many jobs, particularly those involving routine tasks, could be automated.
UBI, a system in which all citizens receive a regular, unconditional sum of money, could be a solution to this problem.

Report a data issue with this market

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

AIOne-OffUS Politics Macro & Economy4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 79.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Aug 1, 23, 8:02 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?

Manifold Markets

Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

Manifold Markets

Will universal basic income be implemented nationwide in a G7 country by the end of 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?

Manifold Markets

Who will be the next CEO of X?

Kalshi

By 2028, will economists attribute a visible break in US economic or productivity trends to AI?

Manifold Markets

Rules

The introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) in the United States by 2030 is plausible due to the potential displacement of jobs by artificial intelligence (AI) and automation.

As AI technology continues to advance, it's expected that many jobs, particularly those involving routine tasks, could be automated.
UBI, a system in which all citizens receive a regular, unconditional sum of money, could be a solution to this problem.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 79.8% as of September 26, 2026.
When does Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030? resolve?: Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
How is Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) in the United States by 2030 is plausible due to the potential displacement of jobs by artificial intelligence (AI) and automation.

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Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

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