KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 106.5 · —
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Stored price
Above 221.5 39.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 221.5 39.5%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Open interest
$1.8K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 106.5Spread
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Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 3:09 AM UTCDec 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 106.5
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 221.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Gemini app downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 106.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 106.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 156.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 156.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 188
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 188 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 221.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 221.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 259.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 259.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 305.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 305.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 367
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 367 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 538.5
- If the Carbon Arc Gemini app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 538.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
