Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.7%
Forecasters
77
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 4, 23, 7:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.
- If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2027 (local time), it resolves to NO.
- In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the city is fully under Ukrainian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the city was on the last 24 hours of 2026.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.