Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 4%
Forecasters
76
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleOct 4, 23, 7:30 PMJan 1, 27, 8:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Related Markets
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
$38.5KVladimir Putin: 16%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
$798.7Before Oct 1, 2026: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
$465.6Yes: 7.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
$340.1Yes: 85.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
$300Yes: 89%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$240Yes: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.NewsIran signals talks stalled, Polymarket odds fall to 14.5% on Hormuz normalcyBlockchain.News
Ukraine reports Crimea strikes as Polymarket puts 2026 recapture odds at 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.