Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?
One-OffAIHealth & MedicineTech3yManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 80.6%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleDec 25, 23, 8:28 PMDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes81%
Related Markets
Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
$100Yes: 14.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill anyone die from a weaponized pathogen invented by AI by 2029?
$100Yes: 19.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When, where or how will Trump die?
$65.22025: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029?
$294.1Yes: 18%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Which company has best AI model end of July?
$176.4KAnthropic: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top Coding AI this week
$12.4KChatGPT: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.